According to a report from Politico, Donald Trump’s chances of holding onto Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes are quickly slipping from his grasp because his attacks on presumptive opponent Joe Biden are falling on the deaf ears of voters.
The report notes that Pennsylvania was key to the president’s 2016 election when he became the first Republican presidential nominee to carry the state since 1988.
This time around the same people who carried him to victory — voters 65 and older and those who live in the suburbs — are deserting him droves because he can’t get them to buy into his attacks on Biden and he has the baggage of three and a half years of failures including the coronavirus health crisis and a faltering economy weighing him down.
Noting the president has trailed Biden in every head-to-head poll in the state — with the Democratic nominee now sitting on a 6 point lead according to the Real Clear Politics poll average — one local Democrats claimed that Trump’s can’t seem to “juice” up his voters with less than one hundred days before the election.
“Hating Joe Biden doesn’t juice up their base and their Fox News viewers the way going after Hillary and Nancy Pelosi and AOC do,” Rep. Brendan Boyle (D) explained. “You can make certain assumptions and wonder why that is. Is gender a factor? Is race a factor? I don’t know. I have certain suspicions.”
As Politico notes, Biden also has a home-turf advantage.
According to Democratic officials, “Biden is also being buoyed by the fact that he is a Scranton native and former Delaware senator who was covered by the Philadelphia media network for years. And they said that Biden doesn’t anger GOP or swing voters like Clinton — instead, he’s a moderate white man who rarely makes waves in a state that has elected more than its fair share of milquetoast white male politicians.”
“In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania by 44,000 votes by taking a path that defied expectations: He won blue-collar, often traditionally Democratic areas in northeastern and northwestern Pennsylvania, surged in rural regions, and performed poorly in the moderate Philadelphia suburbs. Overall, he carried suburban voters by 8 points and seniors by 10 points in the state, according to exit polls,” the report states before adding, “A July FOX poll of Pennsylvania found Biden leading Trump by 26 points among suburban voters and 7 points among seniors. Other surveys show a closer race, such as a CNBC/Change Research poll that had Biden ahead in the state by 2 points.”